Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.784855 4.062547 4.358889 4.700069 5.083791 5.504100 6.002149
2025-04-27 3.386505 3.786401 4.241395 4.803462 5.487805 6.305752 7.376000
2025-05-04 3.149070 3.621354 4.183469 4.914628 5.860642 7.073808 8.802022
2025-05-11 2.927162 3.435336 4.060493 4.906004 6.053294 7.611523 9.999388
2025-05-18 2.753977 3.286005 3.958548 4.898543 6.227731 8.128403 11.247608
2025-05-25 2.560282 3.091535 3.776511 4.757482 6.188654 8.319047 12.015223
2025-06-01 2.409416 2.940243 3.636847 4.656713 6.188163 8.556073 12.894251
2025-06-08 2.315340 2.856567 3.580031 4.664283 6.343948 9.052635 14.335690
2025-06-15 2.254554 2.812665 3.572886 4.740218 6.609246 9.764499 16.371494
2025-06-22 2.126846 2.669151 3.415358 4.576400 6.469565 9.749314 16.908491
2025-06-29 2.025926 2.557777 3.297141 4.463156 6.400589 9.849460 17.723129
2025-07-06 1.936804 2.458675 3.191016 4.360444 6.338076 9.950568 18.567125
2025-07-13 1.864095 2.383600 3.121803 4.320510 6.396849 10.327936 20.312367
2025-07-20 1.830063 2.362941 3.133028 4.412445 6.703664 11.269001 24.008524
2025-07-27 1.799812 2.345707 3.147599 4.510134 7.033090 12.333197 28.736611
2025-08-03 1.747016 2.292251 3.102688 4.502583 7.160055 12.973792 32.546416
2025-08-10 1.698529 2.242748 3.060745 4.496039 7.287171 13.643999 37.014853
2025-08-17 1.627855 2.156785 2.956630 4.372173 7.161862 13.661277 38.828719
2025-08-24 1.569337 2.087087 2.875274 4.283539 7.100638 13.835387 41.555369
2025-08-31 1.534447 2.052062 2.847891 4.290201 7.241278 14.582564 47.939525
2025-09-07 1.513723 2.037845 2.853325 4.356997 7.520365 15.796065 58.812499
2025-09-14 1.453173 1.959518 2.749645 4.212806 7.312426 15.526081 59.791761
2025-09-21 1.404221 1.897916 2.671533 4.112933 7.197226 15.524432 62.898500